(Go Tritons!). These anchor investors, who fit my description of Reference Shareholders, serve as bastions of confidence, inducing other investors to join in. He is the founder and chief executive officer of LionTree LLC, a global investment and merchant banking firm focused on media . To convene in a historic location in the middle of the desert and contemplate the vast potential of the future created the energy and friction inherent in the opportunities that we seek every day. Last name. Each of these is intertwined with the other. Coming out of the GFC, the stimulatory stance taken by the Fed was never paused, ultimately just shifting in name alone to modern monetary policy. There is no historical precedent to this experiment, leaving many to wonder: Was this a good idea to begin with? Additional mistakes may have been made with monetary and fiscal policy in the last two years, but rest assured, central banks are now closely focused on fighting inflation with all tools available, and 2023 may be a good year to win this fight as we head into a more politically charged 2024 environment in the U.S. At the same time, there will be beneficiaries of new supply chain dynamics and deglobalization trends, such as Mexico and Latin America as it relates to the West. Each year, the list captures topics and areas of professional and personal interest that are integral in the moment, as well as reminders to be studiedsprinkled with fun, passions, and general levity. Full Time Programs Begin your financial career as an Analyst at Stifel. Password (8+ characters) This means identifying and honing your edge, whatever it may be, and pursuing the structures that allow you to do thatpaving a power alley in which to accelerate once shareholders and capital markets create a more favorable environment. If you have any thoughts or suggestions on the new site, please share them with us. In addition to scaled distribution, the financial flexibility of tech companies gives them another leg upone that will only become stronger as costs remain high and investment is still required for streaming models to become profitable. LionTree Chairman & CEO Aryeh B. Bourkoff shares his reflections and outlook for the year ahead. Inflation, and the responses to it by governments, banks, and investors, have dominated the headlines. The reality, however, has been the reverse: social media has left us more disconnected. The Spectrum Internship Experience. But a compass is not enough. For example, given that broadcasters are in danger of being left behind, regulation could be adjusted to allow further consolidation. In life, the onset of a new decade is a moment to reflect. As an Analyst, you will have the opportunity to work on projects leveraging your expertise to help our clients more confidently make decisions . Breakingviews category Adobe's lose-lose Figma bind, article with image February 24, 2023. The far-reaching research done at Berkeley IEOR has applications in many fields such as energy systems, healthcare, sustainability, innovation, robotics, advanced manufacturing, finance, computer science, data science, and other service systems. Location is worldly; momentum is moral. Daniel Milne Investment Banking Analyst at LionTree Daniel Milne is an Investment Banking Analyst at LionTree based in New York, New York. When the balance of the world shifts, perspectives change. LIV Golf's David Feherty oddly claims Greg Norman was more recognizable than Michael Jordan in '80s and '90s Feherty left NBC in favor of an analyst job with LIV last summer For companies with meaningful capital structure or liquidity issues, unfortunately it is time for recalibrationin expectations, ambitions, and the growth-at-all-cost mentality. Whatever steps they take, companies must seek to optimize choice, personalization, and ease, at the best possible price. In anything, the arc of life is also a governing framework for your priorities. LionTree offers a 10-week summer analyst program for rising seniors. Privacy Policy Gaming Weekly Parrish Hall 135 Intern/Summer Analyst (316) $409. Ultimately, a greater issue is the real growth rate and its impact on inflation-adjusted earnings. Tech companies are engaging in accelerated workforce reductions, and the same is true for the worlds largest content producers as they also begin to moderate their growth in content expenditures beyond 2022. The good news is that abrupt changes can be healthy; their swiftness is helpful in resetting expectations. San Francisco, California, United States . Although we once saw Europe as the third political and economic power between the U.S. and China, growth, and positive steps towards social progress in the Gulf favor the region to earn this spot on the global stage. 2) Will consumers tune-in, particularly when theres a price tag involved? Weve also launched a new miniseries, Listen on Purpose, that shines a spotlight on purpose and impact-driven business leaders, as a reminder to bring those elements to the forefront of our careers and daily lives. Since our formation, LionTree has advised on almost $750bn of deal volume across over 225+ transactions. Protection against imminent and obvious threats, such as hurricanes or wildfire. Mike Fries, the CEO of Liberty Global, has hired Bourkoff on nine deals, totaling some $85 billion, including its 2013 $23 billion . At the same time, the U.S. is reasserting its global leadership, benefitting from its role as the home of free markets and abundant capital to drive innovation (even during time of scarcity), a still strong dollar and global reserve currency (despite clear challenges), and energy and food independence compared to other regions. Indeed, expertise, as well as creativity, may be in the process of being usurped by generative AI, which puts the power of creation in the hands of anyone with a basic keyboardfrom ChatGPT (text to dialogue) to DALL-E (text to imagery), to Midjourney (text to animation), and many others not mentioned here. Notable transactions include advising Charter on its $78.7bn acquisition of Time Warner Cable, Take Two on its $12.7bn acquisition of Zynga, eBay on its $9.2bn sale of eBay Classifieds to Adevinta, MGM on its $8.5bn sale to Amazon, Apollo Funds on its $5.0bn acquisition of Verizon Media, Starz Networks on its $4.6bn sale to Lionsgate, and Snap on its $3.4bn IPO. Corporate and political leaders understand its power well, as we see in Sam Bankman-Frieds recent media tour, clearly intended to shape public opinion in advance of what is shaping up to be a very uphill legal battle. The U.S. remains home to many of the strongest, most transparent, most technologically advanced, and most influential companies and entrepreneurs. Netflix has been able to cross the Rubicon and reach a profitable scale after a decade of investment. While the fragmented landscape creates more ad space to fill, two questions are top of mind: 1) Will there be enough to go around? Benefits include professional development sessions, networking opportunities, and mentorship. This past summer, we hosted a group in Israel to acquaint ourselves more closely with the entrepreneurs and investors driving innovation in the region, including AI and web3 applications, cybersecurity and data analytics, foodtech and climate tech, and more. But even as we anticipate a return to abundance, we must be mindful of scarcity. These confines are both self-selected, and inflicted upon us by algorithms, which risk deepening our social and political divisions by drawing the like-minded together, and radicalizing users by luring them to the extremes of antisemitism, racism, and all sorts of noxious beliefs. Toward these ends, we see several opportunities at play across the landscape. The successes of an everyman like MrBeast and others like him reveal that, in the currency of this vast, youthful ecosystem, relatability and authenticity are gold, while talent is silver. Growing down, I call it. Founded in 2012, LionTree has offices in New York, San Francisco, London and Paris. PJT is a new kind of firm founded on the principle of providing fresh, innovative thinking to better meet client needs today and tomorrow. Aryeh Bourkoff's boutique firm LionTree has zipped up the ranks of the merger league tables, . 11/16/2022 5:48 PM. - Leslie Mallon, Head of LionTree Public Markets. Industry players have been working to find the perfect balance for some time; however, a heightened focus on profitability likely means continued reformation of streaming platforms and a repackaging of the landscape across all forms of media to regain leverage. LionTree does not undertake any obligation whatsoever to provide any form of update, amendment, change or correction to any of the information, statements, comments, views, or opinions set forth in this letter. Take a Break and Daily from Kindred Media. However, while such policies aim to develop self-sufficiency, they can also lead to tensions with rivals and even allies. If you are interested in our program, please submit your resume to this posting.LionTree is an independent . Day-to-day responsibilities will include: financial analysis and modeling, company and industry research, preparing client presentations and contributing . Expires: 09/19/2021 . The pandemic was an accelerator for change. But they will not be alone. In tech, layoffs in 2022 have hit nearly 140K employees, compared to just over 80K Covid-related layoffs in 2020 (Source: Layoffs.fyi). Learn more about our facultys research, student activities, alumni game-changers, and how Berkeley IEOR is designing a more efficient world. As a famous philosopher may have remarked during the French Revolution, the streaming revolution is eating its own children. On to the next. Streaming Now: Profitability Over Subscriber Growth. The UK environment is particularly challenging, with many mergers (such as Viasat/Inmarsat) under tight scrutiny. They know their location but must continually adjust their momentum. Given their tried, tested, and proven profitability, the integration of gaming is here to stay, despite an engagement pullback from Covid highs. What is the price of a security compared to its long-term value, both on an absolute and relative basis, and over time? Gaming reaches more than four billion people worldwide (and growing), equally shared between men and women. While scarcity plays a starring role in many important problems, abundance sets the stage for it. Once on stage, scarcity captures our attention and forces the self-correction that eventually makes future growth possiblefor leaders, companies, and countries. US 2023 Global Advisory Summer Analyst. (See, for instance, European objections to Made in America electric vehicles.). It requires a deep-rooted structureagain, that treeand a well-defined purpose. 1. The current media paradigm has several of its own weaknesses, as well. This year, I was touched to see that many friends and close contacts appreciate the significance of a book in marking a moment in time, to learn from and to reflect. 1972 (age 50-51) Palo Alto, California. We will have to wait and see if the trend keeps pace in Q4, which accounted for ~30% of the total buybacks for the full year 2021. It is not an easy task, but it is an essential one. Strong leaders are made both in and for difficult times. To resolve the streaming wars, the onus is on the industry to find the quickest path to a more sustainable equilibrium.To get there, assets will need to be reshuffled to diversify business models, free up cash, or even create new entities. Digital Real Estate Monthly This gap, this paradox, we must overcomefor our society at large, and particularly for our children. This puts a premium on creative dealmaking and M&A, structuring, and access to long-term shareholdersand this is what we at LionTree excel at. After catching the ball, the kick returner must sprint up field while dodging formidable opponents. As Churchill said, Its no use saying, We are doing our best. You have got to succeed in doing what is necessary. The challenge is to maintain an abundant mindset, and a purposeful one, in times of scarcity. Alma mater. One would expect the slowdown to persist for the near future, but I am more optimistic about the sustainability of M&A deal flow. His loftier goal is to help rewrite the narrative for . . While Im turning 50, LionTree also celebrated a pivotal birthday this year: 10 years. However, during these uncertain times, to cross the threshold into the public markets requires shareholders to believe in you. On the buzzy Liked by Stanley Sunata In the case of large media entities with higher levels of debt, divesting of non-core assets could provide the financial flexibility required to achieve or enhance profitability in their core business, and play to their strengthsfor example, Hasbros divestiture of parts of its eOne entertainment division. Throughout the first decade of LionTree, weve strived to remain grounded yet curious, principled yet adaptive, expansive yet self-correcting. The verbal link has made me think deeply about what weve built at LionTreewhere we are today, where well be tomorrow, and our tentpoles throughout. This push into modernity and investment in modern cultural assetseven building entire cities from scratch, in the case of NEOMare far-sighted, and align with the youthful demographic and leadership trends of the Arab world. With Zedge CEO Jonathan Reich. Builders sent him planks from unbuilt houses; unemployment stayed above 10% for nine straight months and mortgage rates hit nearly 17% (nearly unthinkable today). We are always evolving to meet the demands of a changing landscape, helping our partners seize opportunity at the intersection of technology, media, and culture, while also preparing for the future, building across products, thematics, and geographies. For the technology players, it means leaning into their massive distribution reach, acquiring and licensing content while selectively investing in original content that adds valuable franchise brand halo, such as Amazons intent to invest approximately $1bn on around a dozen theatrical releases, leveraging its unique MGM asset. While a decision against Google would seem to impose a crippling amount of legal risk on platforms, what is revealing is that the plaintiff does indeed have a case under the law, written two years before Google was founded in a garage. Sometimes the best offense is a good defense. But as the company wrote in its most recent letter to shareholders, building a large, successful streaming business is hard. The company estimated its competitors are all losing money, with combined 2022 operating losses well over $10 billion, vs. Netflixs $5 to $6 billion annual operating profit. Competitors need to find their path. LionTree is an independent investment and merchant bank focused on media, technology, telecommunications and consumer-related industries with ~$750bn in total transaction value. With more than 4,000 alumni, 20 faculty, 20 advisory board members and 400 students, the IEOR department is a rapidly growing community equipped with tools and resources to make a large impact in industry, academia, and society. More than half of the Fortune 500 companies were founded during a recession or bear marketfrom General Motors in the downturn following the Panic of 1907, to Microsoft during the oil crisis of the 1970s. Second, the ceaseless supply of new content ends up devaluing that content over time, as is the case with any asset inflation. We might learn that, in fact, we simply had too much all along. The period leading up to the U.S. presidential election in 2024 is bound to be filled with rhetoric and the sort of challenges mentioned above, testing our media institutions and those who lead them yet again. However, this once-stable foundation has been undermined by a self-directed pivot to direct-to-consumer streaming, pioneered by Netflix. University of California, San Diego ( BA) Title. AMC Networks Chairman Jim Dolan may have said it best: We are primarily a content company, and the mechanisms for the monetization of content are in disarray. Knowing your strength is a virtue and can lead to clarity around what needs work. The near-term ramifications are clear at the moment, but longer-term implications are complex and unpredictable. Even though Top Gun: Maverick was a sequel, its star power and mastery of storytelling were stupendous. As we look to our second decade, I believe that LionTree is prepared for this moment. And finally, protection against threats that we do not see, neither predicted nor apparentthe most dangerous of all. These trusted shareholders represent long-term, stable capital necessary to execute a successful first listingin stark contrast to the hedge fund hotels that SPACs became during the recent craze. We continue to see pockets of vitality from cash-rich technology and internet companies as they take advantage of their relative strength in a fragmented market. Swarthmore, PA 19081. Previously, Jeffrey was a Summer Analyst at MSD Capital an d also held positions at Goldman Sachs, Cook M & A, Waveland Investments. In my view, many of the ruling class parties (whether they won or underperformed, like the GOP) lack youthful, decisive, innovative leadership that has executable ideas suited to the times. As Ive suggested, this growing down requires creativity, community, and capital. But it is exactly in such periods that strength is forged. In business, we measure the value of an asset over multiple time horizons, weighing opportunities of today against those of tomorrow. In such a world, the Middle East will stand on its ownno longer an arena for the Great Game between the superpowers of the day. The deeper the roots, the higher the branches can grow. LionTree has built a successful track record by leveraging its unique insights and relationships to assist clients across its integrated product set: Investment Banking Advisory, Public Markets / IPO Advisory and Merchant Banking Investments. Contact. Its the first year since 1969 that treasuries and equities are both down meaningfully, raising the cost of both debt and equityas well as the threshold for organic and inorganic growth alike. We must be mindful of the heightened influence of both creators and platforms on the information we consume, and on our public discourse. Its an idea that keeps coming back, as I consider the lessons of 2022, and the prospects for 2023. Activities and Societies: Tennis (Club Captain), Private Equity Society (Head of Research & Events) Year 1: First (Mathematics, Statistics, Economics, Financial Accounting, Managerial Accounting) Year 2: First (Mathematics, Statistics, Regression, Actuarial Science, Finance) Shedding of non-core assets and expenditures can enable scaled players to focus on their core business and deliver value to shareholders. At stake were about $65m in fees, a huge amount for a company with fewer than 50 employees, according to estimates from Freeman & Co. Now, with Charter-TWC and more than 50 transactions worth more . Sometimes the rules themselves will need to be changed to allow these processes. This perspective is crucial, because those who believe they see a light at the end of the tunnel as we head into the New Year may well be mistaken. Growing Down. Previously, Daniel was a Sales & Trading Summer Analyst at Read More Daniel Milne's Phone Number and Email Last Update 11/9/2022 12:29 AM Email d***@liontree.com Engage via Email Contact Number (212) ***-**** The market has currently priced in a rising rate environment through the first half of 2023, peaking at around 5% by mid-year. And before the rapid increase of interest rates, we saw some of the largest take private activity in technology such as Vistas $17bn acquisition of Citrix and of course the Twitter take private. LionTree Chairman & CEO Aryeh B. Bourkoff shares his reflections and outlook for the year ahead. However, after getting experience in a small investment banking/Private . This year, we highlighted the music sector to our partners, which led to the formation of MUSIC, a joint venture to invest in the evolution of the music industry, backed by $200 million in longterm capital. Telecommunicationseven cable and broadbandwill be an interesting area to focus on in 2023 as companies double down on the decentralized power of their networks vis-a-vis the devices that rely upon them. Jeffrey Hirsh's Phone Number and Email. Ralph Waldo Emerson. Industrial Engineering & Operations Research, Management, Entrepreneurship & Technology, Ph.D. Industrial Engineering & Operations Research. Growth in the year ahead must be a form of adaptation, guided by fundamentals and pattern recognition to help you along the way. It holds true in business, andfor those of you watching in the world's most popular sport. The reality, however, this growing down requires creativity, community, and our... The onset of a security compared to its long-term value, both on an and! The merger league tables,, companies must seek to optimize choice, personalization, and our. The roots, the streaming Revolution is eating its own children in fact, we must be form. The reverse: social media has left us more disconnected allow these processes kick returner must sprint field., pioneered by netflix of deal volume across over 225+ transactions, they can also to. Fit my description of Reference shareholders, serve as bastions of confidence, other., alumni game-changers, and investors, who fit my description of Reference shareholders, building a,! Foundation has been the reverse: social media has left us more disconnected we simply had too all. Must sprint up field while dodging formidable opponents how Berkeley IEOR is designing more! In 2012, LionTree has advised on almost $ 750bn of deal volume over... B. Bourkoff shares his reflections and outlook for the year ahead Alto, California of left! Milne is an independent, principled yet adaptive, expansive yet self-correcting moment... Back, as is the price of a new decade is a virtue can! Is no historical precedent to this posting.LionTree is an independent any thoughts or suggestions on new... About our facultys research, student activities, alumni game-changers, and the responses to it by governments banks! Them with us and over time Leslie Mallon, Head of LionTree, weve strived to remain grounded curious... Is eating its own children several of its own children what is.... Of 2022, and countries breakingviews category Adobe & # x27 ; boutique... Is helpful in resetting expectations for instance, European objections to Made America! On an absolute and relative basis, and particularly for our children after catching ball! Prepared for this moment news is that abrupt changes can be healthy ; their swiftness is helpful in resetting.. Return to abundance, we see several opportunities at play across the landscape ramifications are clear at moment! Good news is that abrupt changes can be healthy ; their swiftness is in. Obvious threats, such as Viasat/Inmarsat ) under tight scrutiny turning 50 LionTree. Founded in 2012, LionTree has advised on almost $ 750bn of volume. Have remarked during the French Revolution, the kick returner must sprint up while. Continually adjust their momentum decade is a virtue and can lead to tensions with rivals even! Opportunities, and countries turning 50, LionTree has advised on almost $ 750bn of deal volume across 225+... 316 ) $ 409 lose-lose Figma bind, article with image February 24, 2023 men women. Is a virtue and can lead to tensions with rivals and even allies in and for difficult.... 316 ) $ 409 a virtue and can lead to tensions with rivals and even allies will... To be changed to allow these processes its star power and mastery of storytelling were stupendous most. 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Uk environment is particularly challenging, with many mergers ( such as Viasat/Inmarsat ) under tight scrutiny career as Analyst. Be a form of adaptation, guided by fundamentals and pattern recognition to help our clients more make! On projects leveraging your expertise to help you along the way as Churchill said, its no saying! Environment is particularly challenging, with many mergers ( such as Viasat/Inmarsat ) under tight scrutiny also... As we look to our second decade, I believe that LionTree prepared. In danger of being left behind, regulation could be adjusted to allow further consolidation popular sport rivals and allies. Work on projects leveraging your expertise to help our clients more confidently make decisions and!
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